Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.348746 0.405462 0.468026 0.542098 0.627339 0.722303 0.836066
2025-04-27 0.267258 0.347017 0.444514 0.572156 0.734547 0.933925 1.196975
2025-05-04 0.219159 0.307998 0.424843 0.589110 0.813366 1.108015 1.523667
2025-05-11 0.183584 0.275401 0.403650 0.594761 0.871055 1.254526 1.825404
2025-05-18 0.155212 0.246547 0.381005 0.591784 0.912016 1.377967 2.104455
2025-05-25 0.132130 0.221057 0.358339 0.583598 0.941408 1.484471 2.366774
2025-06-01 0.114577 0.201055 0.340504 0.579069 0.973691 1.595997 2.645402
2025-06-08 0.097531 0.179068 0.316083 0.559899 0.978874 1.663705 2.859438
2025-06-15 0.092633 0.177045 0.324166 0.595223 1.076893 1.889364 3.351808
2025-06-22 0.080040 0.159326 0.302702 0.576274 1.079062 1.954295 3.578371
2025-06-29 0.069548 0.143944 0.283310 0.558267 1.080053 2.015911 3.803212
2025-07-06 0.061101 0.131278 0.267250 0.544200 1.086034 2.085800 4.047916
2025-07-13 0.055880 0.124544 0.262048 0.550973 1.133259 2.237656 4.463138
2025-07-20 0.053478 0.123383 0.267795 0.580237 1.227669 2.487634 5.089949
2025-07-27 0.050106 0.119619 0.267684 0.597370 1.299414 2.700481 5.664694
2025-08-03 0.046097 0.113825 0.262515 0.603095 1.348016 2.871781 6.172360
2025-08-10 0.041857 0.106855 0.253862 0.600078 1.377460 3.006444 6.616936
2025-08-17 0.037724 0.099520 0.243443 0.591782 1.394314 3.116150 7.019031
2025-08-24 0.034309 0.093441 0.235119 0.587191 1.418679 3.243566 7.470062
2025-08-31 0.030368 0.085432 0.221212 0.567764 1.406966 3.291386 7.751382
2025-09-07 0.029974 0.086653 0.229836 0.603563 1.527738 3.642987 8.740619
2025-09-14 0.026666 0.079530 0.216803 0.584359 1.515161 3.692207 9.047204
2025-09-21 0.023774 0.073110 0.204741 0.566110 1.502805 3.740443 9.355379